| Two new polls, each with a large sample (about 2,000) of Quebecers, confirms the rise of the Conservative Party in Québec. According to an Ipsos-Reid poll, the Conservatives are at 25 percent in Québec compared with 48 percent for the Bloc and 13 percent for the Liberal Party. A Decima poll puts the Conservatives at 28 percent in Québec while the Bloc is at 45 percent and the Liberals at 14 percent. According to the same poll, 12 percent of sovereignists support the Conservatives whereas 80 percent support the Bloc. Among Québec federalists, 41 percent opt for the Conservative Party whereas 28 percent choose the Liberals, 13 percent the NDP and 9 percent the Bloc. | Deux nouveaux sondages, chacun avec un large échantillon (environ 2000) de Québécois, confirment la montée du Parti Conservateur au Québec. Selon un sondage Ipsos-Reid, les Conservateurs sont à 25% au Québec comparativement à 48% pour le Bloc et 13% pour le Parti Libéral. Un sondage Decima place les Conservateurs à 28% au Québec alors que le Bloc est à 45% et les Libéraux à 14%. Selon le même sondage, 12% des souverainistes appuient les Conservateurs alors que 80% appuient le Bloc. Parmi les fédéralistes québécois, 41% optent pour le Parti Conservateur alors que 28% choisissent les Libéraux, 13% le NPD et 9% le Bloc. |
I just saw this while Googling Jean Pierre Blackburn; your nearly two year old article looks eerily prescient, old chap. Any of this ring a bell:
Stephen Harper can win in Ontario. Is Québec next?
"Quebec. I still believe the key to drum up Conservative support in Quebec is Harper's proposals for a more decentralized federalism...I think this is how the Conservative Party should promote itself in Quebec.
...
Indeed, even in the heartland of Quebec separatism, Saguenay-Lac-St-Jean, former PC MP Jean-Pierre Blackburn, who is a federalist, says that "Conservatives have always been closer [than Liberals] of supporters of the Parti québécois and the Bloc québécois". The glue that can bind moderate Quebec nationalists and federalists, alienated Westerners and conservatives in Ontario and the Maritimes is of course the belief that the government in Ottawa cannot be the solution to all our problems and that local and provincial governments are often better suited to the task."
Kinsella, as quoted in your article:
"In an environment where voters are hungry for change - as long as that change isn't radical or extreme - Harper's bland, Wonder Bread style works to his advantage. So too his smarts, which he has in abundance. Look, for example, how he has quietly expunged many of the extremists from his party's caucus - and how he's now got the most ethnically diverse (and youthful) caucus in the House of Commons.
Could he be the next Prime Minister in a minority Parliament? You're damned right he could."
http://www.polyscopique.com/blog/archives/000455.html
Écrit par: Anonalogue à janvier 19, 2006 06:14 PMYes, I had linked to that post a week ago. I'm glad to see this is now working!
Écrit par: Laurent à janvier 20, 2006 09:20 AM