Le blog de Polyscopique: Quelques statistiques sur la révolution sexuelle

avril 20, 2005

Quelques statistiques sur la révolution sexuelle

Throughout the West, there was, starting with the 1960s, a sexual revolution, more specifically a marked liberalization of sexual mores. This sexual revolution happened in Québec starting with the Quiet Revolution, which led to the gradual abandonment of traditional Catholic morals. Here are some statistics on these changes Québec has seen:

The birth rate went from 27.5 per 1,000 in 1960 to 9.7 per 1,000 in 2002, a 65 percent decline.
The total fertility rate went from 3.858 in 1960 to 1.467 in 2002, a 62 percent decline.
The average number of persons per family went from 4.24 in 1961 to 2.99 in 1996, a 29 percent decrease.
The total abortion rate went from 128.4 per 1,000 in 1976 to 595.1 per 1,000 in 2003, a rate 4.6 times higher.
The pregnancy rate among young women under 20 years of age went from 24.2 per 1,000 in 1980 to 36.9 per 1,000 in 1998, a 52 percent increase. Among young women under 18 years of age, the pregnancy rate went from 12.6 to 20.2 per 1,000 during the same period, a 60 percent increase.
The marriage rate went from 7.0 per 1,000 in 1960 to 3.0 pe 1,000 in 2002, a 57 percent decrease.
The total first marriage rate among men went from 948.3 per 1,000 in 1960 to 305.7 per 1,000 in 2002, a 68 percent decline. Among women, the total first marriage rate went from 900.1 to 331.6 per 1,000 during the same period, a 63 percent decline.
The total divorce rate per 100 marriages went from 8.8 in 1969 to 50.4 in 2002, a rate 5.7 times higher.
The proportion of births outside marriage went from 3.6 percent in 1960 to 59.2 percent in 2002, a proportion 16.4 times higher.
The proportion of single-parent families among families with children went from 17.6 percent in 1981 to 24.1 percent in 1996, a relative increase of 36.9 percent.

Dans tout l'Occident, il s'est déroulé à partir des années 1960 une révolution sexuelle, c'est-à-dire une libéralisation marquée des moeurs sexuelles. Cette révolution sexuelle a eu lieu au Québec à partir de la Révolution tranquille, qui a mené au délaissement graduel de la morale catholique traditionelle. Voici quelques statistiques sur ces changements que le Québec a connu:

Le taux de natalité est passé de 27,5 pour 1000 en 1960 à 9,7 pour 1000 en 2002, une chute de 65%.
L'indice synthétique de fécondité est passé de 3,858 en 1960 à 1,467 en 2002, une chute de 62%.
Le nombre moyen de personnes par famille est passé de 4,24 en 1961 à 2,99 en 1996, une baisse de 29%.
L'indice synthétique d'avortements est passé de 128,4 pour 1000 en 1976 à 595,1 pour 1000 en 2003, un taux 4,6 fois plus élevé.
Le taux de grossesses chez les jeunes filles de moins de 20 ans est passé de 24,2 pour 1000 en 1980 à 36,9 pour 1000 en 1998, une augmentation de 52%. Chez les jeunes filles de moins de 18 ans, le taux de grossesses est passé de 12,6 à 20,2 pour 1000 durant la même période, une augmentation de 60%.
Le taux de nuptialité est passé de 7,0 pour 1000 en 1960 à 3,0 pour 1000 en 2002, une chute de 57%.
L'indice synthétique de nuptialité chez les hommes est passé de 948,3 pour 1000 en 1960 à 305,7 pour 1000 en 2002, une chute de 68%. Chez les femmes, l'indice synthétique de nuptialité est passé de 900,1 à 331,6 pour 1000 durant la même période, une chute de 63%.
L'indice synthétique de divortialité pour 100 mariages est passé de 8,8 en 1969 à 50,4 en 2002, un taux 5,7 fois plus élevé.
La proportion des naissances hors mariage est passée de 3,6% en 1960 à 59,2% en 2002, une proportion 16,4 fois plus élevée.
La proportion de familles monoparentales chez les familles avec enfants est passée de 17,6% en 1981 à 24,1% en 1996, une augmentation relative de 36,9%.

Publié par Laurent à avril 20, 2005 04:24 PM

Commentaires

All sad figures indeed, not to mention the increase in the use of the term "conjoint(e)" in Quebec, two syllables that when glued together sounds like nails on a chalkboard to me... But I'm not sure that a staunch morally conservative position from the Catholic Church is going to reverse many of the trends we find in Catholic communities. A measure of proportionnalism, and not ideological purism, is in my view required.

Once I get back to regular blogging, I'd like to explore the theme.

Écrit par: Ferg à avril 20, 2005 05:10 PM

Merci pour les statistiques ... absolutement étonnant. I am really shocked.

Écrit par: Adam Daifallah à avril 20, 2005 10:04 PM

Mark Steyn wrote about this in the last issue of the Western Standrad. I don't know if you read it, but the long and short of it was that while the Quiet Revolution increased the seperatist feeling, at the same time due to the sexual revolution that had accompanied it it eventualy destoryed it (Seperatism) at the same time. Had the sexual revolution been weaker, we could have been looking at an independant Quebec.

Écrit par: Rick à avril 21, 2005 09:53 AM

Does anyone know if the total abortion rate (595.1 per 1000) indicates the proportion of pregnancies that were aborted or the percentage of women who had an abortion in that year or the percentage of women alive in that year who at some time had an abortion? (I assume, obviously, it's either the first or the third.)

Écrit par: David à avril 21, 2005 12:37 PM

Adam,

Je suis content que tu aies apprécié ce billet.

Ferg,

I look forward to your post on the subject. I'd say that, even more than the abandonment of moral conservatism, the problem is the emergence of a moral anti-conservatism, whereby people who choose to live their personal lives in a conservative fashion are held in subtle or not-so-subtle comtempt. The most famous example happened during the 1980 referendum when Lise Payette made her famous bromide against the Yvettes, that is against stay-at-home women who didn't conform to her idea of a 'liberated' woman.

Rick,

I read that Mark Steyn article. This is an interesting thesis he has presented more than once. However, there remains an unknown variable. Sovereignist leaders often point to deteriorating demographics and assert that sovereignty is necessary to better secure the survival of Québec's French-speaking society within North America. If the sexual revolution had been weaker, then Quebecers would have felt less insecure about their demographic future and sovereignists would have been deprived of this argument.

David,

The total abortion rate measures how many abortions 1,000 hypothetical women would have had throughout their lives if they had abortions at the rates observed for each age during a given year. The total fertility/marriage/divorce works the same way.

Écrit par: Laurent à avril 21, 2005 06:55 PM